"When misguided public opinion honors what is despicable and despises what is honorable, punishes virtue and rewards vice, encourages what is harmful and discourages what is useful, applauds falsehood and smothers truth under indifference or insult, a nation turns its back on progress and can be restored only by the terrible lessons of catastrophe." … Frederic Bastiat

Evil talks about tolerance only when it’s weak. When it gains the upper hand, its vanity always requires the destruction of the good and the innocent, because the example of good and innocent lives is an ongoing witness against it. So it always has been. So it always will be. And America has no special immunity to becoming an enemy of its own founding beliefs about human freedom, human dignity, the limited power of the state, and the sovereignty of God. – Archbishop Chaput


Monday, December 24, 2012

Merry Christmas to my readers

“The people who walked in darkness have seen a great light; those who dwelt in a land of deep darkness, on them has light shone... For to us a child is born, to us a son is given; and the government shall be upon his shoulder, and his name shall be called Wonderful Counselor, Mighty God, Everlasting Father, Prince of Peace” (Isaiah 9: 2&6).

"But thou, Bethlehem Ephratah, though thou be little among the thousands of Judah, yet out of thee shall he come forth unto me that is to be ruler in Israel; whose goings forth have been from of old, from everlasting." (Micah 5:2)

"And so it was, that, while they were there, the days were accomplished that she should be delivered. And she brought forth her firstborn son, and wrapped him in swaddling clothes, and laid him in a manger; because there was no room for them in the inn. And there were in the same country shepherds abiding in the field, keeping watch over their flock by night. And, lo, the angel of the Lord came upon them, and the glory of the Lord shone round about them: and they were sore afraid. And the angel said unto them, Fear not: for, behold, I bring you good tidings of great joy, which shall be to all people. For unto you is born this day in the city of David a Saviour, which is Christ the Lord. And this shall be a sign unto you; Ye shall find the babe wrapped in swaddling clothes, lying in a manger. And suddenly there was with the angel a multitude of the heavenly host praising God, and saying, Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men. And it came to pass, as the angels were gone away from them into heaven, the shepherds said one to another, Let us now go even unto Bethlehem, and see this thing which is come to pass, which the Lord hath made known unto us." (Luke 2: 6-15).

Gold Chart Updated

Gold is tracking sideways remaining above support at the recent bottom near $1636 but unable to get much going to the upside. The rest of this week will see reduced liquidity and thus the possibility of increased price swings. Unless we get a large sustained move in either direction, I would not read too much into the price action this week. Perhaps the only event that might provide some fundamentally-based direction would be news regarding the so-called 'fiscal cliff'.

Silver continues to look much weaker on the charts than does gold. Some of this is no doubt tied to the fears regarding the lack of an agreement of that cliff issue. The reason I say this is because copper is also getting knocked down and has fallen some 20 cents off its recent best levels near $3.72. Unless copper reverses to the upside, silver will have some trouble getting anything going.

Silver experienced only a brief or mild bump off its recent low and then gave a fair amount of that back today. This market will not attract any momentum-based buying whatsoever unless it can get back above 31 which will force some shorts out and issue some signals to the algorithms to begin some buying. If the recent low does not hold, I see no chart support until $2850 - $28.30.