"When misguided public opinion honors what is despicable and despises what is honorable, punishes virtue and rewards vice, encourages what is harmful and discourages what is useful, applauds falsehood and smothers truth under indifference or insult, a nation turns its back on progress and can be restored only by the terrible lessons of catastrophe." … Frederic Bastiat


Evil talks about tolerance only when it’s weak. When it gains the upper hand, its vanity always requires the destruction of the good and the innocent, because the example of good and innocent lives is an ongoing witness against it. So it always has been. So it always will be. And America has no special immunity to becoming an enemy of its own founding beliefs about human freedom, human dignity, the limited power of the state, and the sovereignty of God. – Archbishop Chaput

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Thursday, October 13, 2011

Gold still being held by $1680

The battle for $1680 is increasing in intensity as bears dig in to prevent what they know will be a defeat if they allow the metal to move convincingly through this level.

The factor allowing them to push a bit harder against the bulls today (and unnerving the bulls somewhat) was increasing doubts concerning the European bank recapitalization plan.

Get used to this - One might as well pick a Flowering Daisy and pull the petals one at a time: "She loves me; she loves me not".

That is what "investing" has been degraded to nowadays.

Tomorrow brings the end of the trading week. If gold can go out over $1680 into the weekend, it will be "GAME ON" for the bulls. If not, we remain trapped in the range trade that has been the model for the last few weeks.


Silver was whacked for a 3% loss today as the Risk Aversion trades came back on the heels of the concern over the European bank plan deal. If the trading contingent feels differently about that plan tomorrow, it will just as likely take back all of today's losses and then some. Again, get your Daisy flower and start picking off the petals. Some business isn't it???

Either way, it too reinforces $32.50 as the resistance barrier that must be taken out and held to get something going to the upside in the Silver market.

The HUI is no help whatsoever to the metals and will not be until it clears the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 560 and holds it. Until it does, it is checkmated and in a range trade.
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4 comments:

  1. RuiOctober 13, 2011 at 2:24 PM

    I think there might be different reasons why silver received a 3% beat down suddenly.

    There's a rumor in the pit that Morgan is using own shares as a means to suppress silver. Now look at how closely coupled silver and JPMorgan stock price have been recently. I cannot help thinking it's more than just a rumor.

    ReplyDelete
  2. silverwoodOctober 13, 2011 at 7:24 PM

    RUI, just how would that work? I don't understand how they(JPM)could use their own shares to suppress the price of silver. Could you please explain it.TIA

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousOctober 14, 2011 at 1:31 AM

    Thanks Dan, your blog is appreciated, one of the first i check each day.

    ReplyDelete
  4. RuiOctober 14, 2011 at 10:47 AM

    @silverwood

    I don't know the details either as it's a 'rumor'. I guess it's some kinda exotic derivative contracts in the OTC market where you promise to offer equities such as JPM shares as the backup payment if you are unable to deliver the silver. Just a guess. This coupling b/t JPM and silver is intriguingly tight.

    ReplyDelete

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