For those of you who might have seen the original "Karate Kid" movie, you will recall that great scene where Mr. Miyagi, played by the now deceased Pat Morita in instructing his young student, Daniel LaRusso in the finer arts of waxing classic automobiles. His famous lines: "Wax On; Wax Off", come to my mind with increasing frequency these days in observing the wild price swings occuring in the commodity markets.
Take corn for example - Earlier this week the hedge funds were throwing it all away on the stupid notion that a rising crude oil price would force people to give up eating and somehow also suppress the appetite of livestock and poultry. WAX OFF
Today they are back in there loading up on the yellow foodstuff after end users bought every bit of what they threw away and reminded the world that human and animal appetites do not particulary care what the cost of crude oil might happen to be. WAX ON
Tomorrow, who knows.
The result of all this buying across the food complex has been to push the CCI, the Continuous Commodity Index right back up against its recent all time high, setting up a very real possibility that the index will CLOSE at a new all time high price. Were it not for the current bout of weakness in the precious metals, the CCI would have gone on to make an all time high once again.
Maybe the bond market will eventually get the message and come out of its fairy tale, Fed-created La La land.
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