tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post63026177844519056..comments2024-02-10T02:18:27.240-08:00Comments on Trader Dan's Market Views: The Difference between Meteorologists and TradersTrader Danhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05484363461047659198noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-84198197072698502012011-12-14T20:45:44.900-08:002011-12-14T20:45:44.900-08:00my problem with their forecasts is they always had...my problem with their forecasts is they always had a wide range, like there will be 12-19 named hurricanes... you could predict that every year. worthless. now if they will finally abandon AGW ...au traderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16960725741030503072noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-34152760373489700052011-12-13T21:33:11.927-08:002011-12-13T21:33:11.927-08:00boatman - well said! that is exactly correct.
Tha...boatman - well said! that is exactly correct.<br />Thanks,<br />DanTrader Danhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05484363461047659198noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-67709425805980240842011-12-13T21:29:11.608-08:002011-12-13T21:29:11.608-08:00being a meteorologist in the south, i can mostly a...being a meteorologist in the south, i can mostly agree.<br /><br />while dr. Gray's '2-4 days out direction and intensity' computer models are statistically better n better and not too bad at all, whole season forecasting leaves alot to be desired. like the PSA test for prostate cancer, how much use is a 51% sure result?....not much.<br /><br />like trading, forecasting mostly random events like wind or moisture (or human reaction) in a complicated fluid environment is tough work.<br /><br />If technical chart analysis worked perfect we'd all be rich......which in a 'market' cannot happen.......alittle edge is all u can hope for.boatmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12951618145166698522noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-1744449597440983142011-12-13T19:20:24.597-08:002011-12-13T19:20:24.597-08:00Gee, I was kinda thinking it would be sweet if a c...Gee, I was kinda thinking it would be sweet if a couple hundred politicians with 20 years experience would admit the same.davecydellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16090888216008105749noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-51526435968045405422011-12-13T07:20:52.975-08:002011-12-13T07:20:52.975-08:00Wow, at least someone with 20+ years of "pred...Wow, at least someone with 20+ years of "predicting" finally uttered the truth. I do not believe the US Govt and all their Wall Street Allies will ever do this. Nope, it will be splatteroo for the common man (me). I am in no position to say when, but I believe it has to end or money printing to wash it away. Have to have some Bernanke "tail risk" assets for protection or no breathing will take place after the world hits the winshieldWhite Wolfhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13965194184809848345noreply@blogger.com