tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post4887064034414192615..comments2024-02-10T02:18:27.240-08:00Comments on Trader Dan's Market Views: Foreign Custodial Holdings of US Treasuries continuing to ClimbTrader Danhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05484363461047659198noreply@blogger.comBlogger170125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-51122495118970358252014-09-02T13:45:59.072-07:002014-09-02T13:45:59.072-07:00thermonuclear war is very survivable. the fallout ...thermonuclear war is very survivable. the fallout is only a few days, and the radioactive iodine is what poses the biggest problem. A half life of 4-5 days.<br /><br />It is much different than Chernobyl or Fukushima. The china/russia alliance does not want to destroy the US. They just want its military targets immobilized. Places like CO Springs, Norfolk, VA, would not be a good place to settle down. They want our oil and energy and all that wonderful farming land. The US is really a beautiful place. It's sad that we are walking into a buzzsaw. But that buzzsaw is further away than the preppers think. We still have some time. But the globalists know that this will be the only thing that will scare us enough to go along with the final stages of the NWO.<br /><br />The process to get to this war is a long term plan and process. Unfortunately, the steps that need to be taken are being currently undertaken. Thus it will happen, but there are some other things that need to be done. This is why I estimate next decade.Eph 6:7https://www.blogger.com/profile/12432153510281295793noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-12134173458355430802014-09-02T12:05:37.567-07:002014-09-02T12:05:37.567-07:00Shark;
Dec 2012 - 2,891,366 trillion
Aug 28, 201...Shark;<br /><br />Dec 2012 - 2,891,366 trillion<br /><br />Aug 28, 2014 3,012,666 trillion<br /><br />Is that what you call "almost halted". I guess we learned math in different eras.<br /><br />By the way, this is only those treasury holdings that are held in custody at the New York Fed. This IS NOT THE TOTAL US treasury holdings of foreign central banks. That data is reported monthly by the Treasury not the Federal Reserve.<br /><br />I will suggest something to you but I suspect it will fall on deaf ears. Let go of your preconceived bias and try for once to be objective and see things the way they are, not the way you think they are or wan them to be.<br /><br />As long as there is such a thing as international trade, countries which have a positive trade surplus with the US are going to need to buy Treasury debt to sterilize that imbalance.<br />Trader Danhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05484363461047659198noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-77461753766592732172014-09-02T11:57:07.175-07:002014-09-02T11:57:07.175-07:00COME ON DAN,
THE CHART TELLS US CLEARLY THAT FOR...COME ON DAN, <br /><br />THE CHART TELLS US CLEARLY THAT FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ALMOST HALTED BUYING US TREASURIES SINCE 2012. <br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13412568867837304382noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-64623997324527422792014-09-02T11:38:44.701-07:002014-09-02T11:38:44.701-07:00Fortunately mules can not reproduce, but unfortuna...Fortunately mules can not reproduce, but unfortunately Maguire can in another sad form.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15820220635483947518noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-61454512041368977292014-09-02T11:08:37.735-07:002014-09-02T11:08:37.735-07:00Andrew maguire coming any moment now... Andrew maguire coming any moment now... Lorenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01786341405874071932noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-88713997900779284442014-09-02T09:40:24.750-07:002014-09-02T09:40:24.750-07:00Stu Ungar;
What is dishonest about reporting a fa...Stu Ungar;<br /><br />What is dishonest about reporting a fact?<br /><br />Also, you seem to be a bit confused so perhaps I can help clear things up a bit for you. If I am reading your comments correctly, you assume that it is foreign central banks who buy the bulk of our Treasury debt. That is factually incorrect. The majority of US debt is still bought internally here in the US. The last time I looked, and I have not checked in a while, it was about a 60/40 split between domestic debt buying and foreign debt buying of Treasuries. Also, out of that 40% bought by foreigners, Central Banks do not account for all of that. Private investors buy lots of US Treasuries whether it be for individual foreigners or those who buy into managed funds.<br /><br />Trader Danhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05484363461047659198noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-76282012618291189222014-09-02T08:33:03.300-07:002014-09-02T08:33:03.300-07:00Just a simple observation; Bernanke telegraphed ev...Just a simple observation; Bernanke telegraphed everything and essentially the stk bulls that believed have been well rewarded, while at the same time the bears have been bludgeoned unmercifully. He also was constantly derided by tons of pundits. Ok, long story short, it seems to me Janet gets no respect when she says end to taper and rates are going higher next year. Well, I was wrong in thinking Christmas "08 was the blow off top for bonds and I was wrong. Looking at things today, I again think that '12 was the top and I pick my spots to sell into. Maybe I am the donkey once again and we will see. Believe or not??Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15820220635483947518noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-48588213678884524462014-09-02T08:32:50.197-07:002014-09-02T08:32:50.197-07:00But...but...the vaults are empty...and JPM is corn...But...but...the vaults are empty...and JPM is cornered (I tell ya'!)...and the USD is going to collapse anyday know...and something historic and explosive is just delayed for now....and, and....QE can't end, it just can't....and even if it does...it really didn't. Just trust my version of reality and ignore the 3 year trend!<br /><br />Sounds like something The Shadow might resort to on days like this.<br /><br />DarkPurpleHazehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06725074790604681185noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-88697621014005149082014-09-02T08:21:27.799-07:002014-09-02T08:21:27.799-07:00Hey Dan, It seems you are attracting all the most ...Hey Dan, It seems you are attracting all the most poker players of the world :)<br />Narrative?<br />What narrative?<br />The narrative is to make money.<br />If gold plunges from 1900 to 1200 and you were short, you just made a profit of 700 $ for every 1900 $ you bet on the short side.<br />If you were a bull, you've just lost them, which is about 30% loss.<br />This is the only narrative on a speculative standpoint.<br />You make money or you lose it.<br />Maybe it's a nice consoling tale to hear, that central banks added a net 60 billion in treasuries while you count your growing losses, but what's the point?<br />When gold will show us that it has changed trend and goes up, the narrative will change.<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00335835171576180359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-17411117891403869892014-09-02T08:07:59.250-07:002014-09-02T08:07:59.250-07:00Thats a fairly dishonest headline trader Dan, espe...Thats a fairly dishonest headline trader Dan, especially since foreign central banks have only added a net 60 billion in treasuries in a year and a half. Given our deficit is about 45 billion a month I'll let you do the math. No reason o twist facts to fit your anti-gold narrative.<br /><br />OS, I took 190 pounds off my two langstroths this weekend, how much liquid gold did you wind up with?The Jackalopehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09614813894471523902noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-67049782557865401112014-09-02T07:52:58.473-07:002014-09-02T07:52:58.473-07:00You guys have too much time on your hands.why woul...You guys have too much time on your hands.why would you waste your time reading or listening to them.mark if you are right about us having an economic boom then guess what happens. Inflation !!!!<br />That's is why I buy certain well positioned gold stocks.might nibble a little today but I think more selling is on the way.i think a lot of people expect a slight correction in stocks with everybody coming back from holidays.i wouldn't be surprised to see it continue to rise the next 2-4 weeks with gold/gold stocks being sold but when things turn I think it might be quick.like dan says stay nimble and quick to changing your positionnoles14https://www.blogger.com/profile/15780273607762243305noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-49783005390816606212014-09-02T07:45:55.056-07:002014-09-02T07:45:55.056-07:00New highs on XLY as the consumer is unflappable.
...New highs on XLY as the consumer is unflappable.<br /><br />When is Eric King going to interview the CEOs of Under Armor, Buffalo Wild Wings, Starbucks, etc.?<br /><br />LOL.....Markhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13068811838777958318noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-31691915284168454932014-09-02T07:41:24.374-07:002014-09-02T07:41:24.374-07:00But Hubert, you forget, Martin has charts on inter...But Hubert, you forget, Martin has charts on interest rates 400 B.C. If you don't think he is the smartest guy in the room, just ask him.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15820220635483947518noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-65713081729969379202014-09-02T07:40:52.380-07:002014-09-02T07:40:52.380-07:00Facebook and Tesla soaring to new highs on Ukraine...Facebook and Tesla soaring to new highs on Ukraine fears.<br /><br />Meanwhile, oil and gold stocks are getting destroyed along with DBCMarkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13068811838777958318noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-55018345613117685512014-09-02T07:24:55.052-07:002014-09-02T07:24:55.052-07:00Hubert;
fighting that trend has been a thankless ...Hubert;<br /><br />fighting that trend has been a thankless task for anyone wanting to hold a short position more than a few days at the most. I do not know how long it can keep going up. One of the things that is contributing to this rise is the lack of alternatives to stocks when it comes to committing large sums of capital. <br /><br />Commodities in general are headed lower based on the GSCI. Bonds are at levels that make some question the wisdom of locking up large sums of money for years with such low yields. <br /><br />The leaves big institutional investment managers with little choice but to move money into equities or have it sit in cash on the sidelines ( and some in bonds). What happens to those guys is that their clients start calling and complaining to those managers about not being in the market and getting all those gains. Managers will then worry about redemptions and losing their clients if they do not commit to equities and get on the bandwagon so into stocks goes more money.<br /><br />I honestly do not know what will trigger a more aggressive sell off in these circumstances. CEntral Banks seem to have an answer for all these various economic crises ( in the minds of big investors) which to date has left little in the way of unintended consequences. <br /><br />It used to be commonly held that one could not essentially create money out of thin air without debasing a currency but that assumes it was only one country or nation doing it. What happens when nearly all of the Western Central Banks were doing it at the same time? I think we got our answer.<br /><br />Regardless of what happens, we are all going to learn something. Too bad we cannot live for another century so that the next time it happens we will be smart enough to know in advance how the end game plays out. For now we have to watch and learn.Trader Danhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05484363461047659198noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-53110986449836202162014-09-02T07:22:19.638-07:002014-09-02T07:22:19.638-07:00OK, Bo Polny is a fraud and you lost 20.000 $.
Tha...OK, Bo Polny is a fraud and you lost 20.000 $.<br />That's bad luck.<br />But now, a new guru has revealed himself : Martin Armstrong is releasing his 300 PAGES document about gold, where this time, I swear, this time, you will find the future precise timing for gold lows, and gold highs when it reaches 5000 $. I swear, this time, this is for real.<br />Don't give up too fast.<br />You lost your first 20.000 $ investing in gold at 1900 and selling at 1200.<br />You lost another 20.000 subscribing to Bo Polny.<br />But now is the occasion to break even and cover your losses!<br />Don't be a loser! Sell your last house.<br />Subscribe now to his exclusive newsletter, and this time, the Jedi power will give you all the REAL dates.<br />Good luck,Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00335835171576180359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-21293240492301184282014-09-02T07:06:35.906-07:002014-09-02T07:06:35.906-07:00Turk and backwardation, and Denver Dave with 15-1 ...Turk and backwardation, and Denver Dave with 15-1 gold silver ratio; sadAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15820220635483947518noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-83094656082199101662014-09-02T06:51:00.567-07:002014-09-02T06:51:00.567-07:00There was a time when I expected 2,000 / 50 but no...There was a time when I expected 2,000 / 50 but not now as conditions are much different. A condition I am glad for. <br /><br />The events that would drive precious metals to me highs by year end should not be plesent for anyone including those who have stacks and nothing else. Mike Ehlerthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03796788820435662856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-87351472559898171632014-09-02T06:24:24.623-07:002014-09-02T06:24:24.623-07:00The "Horrific Collapse" continues.
I...The "Horrific Collapse" continues.<br /><br />I'd give anything to be close to Nashville, TN to attend the next Q & A session.<br /><br />Just to watch a couple of blue hairs throw their shoes at General Jim standing at the podium.<br /><br />Especially when he shows a picture of USDX and says "The Story Will Unfold Here",<br /><br />LOL.....Markhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13068811838777958318noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-61680839158096561672014-09-02T05:35:07.161-07:002014-09-02T05:35:07.161-07:00On gold, lookout below.
Will 1240 hold? Will 118...On gold, lookout below.<br />Will 1240 hold? Will 1180? <br />Only The Shadow knows...Eric Originalhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09663512536878956249noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-40265914845063711672014-09-02T03:28:15.325-07:002014-09-02T03:28:15.325-07:00Dan, correct me if I'm wrong, or pinch me if I...Dan, correct me if I'm wrong, or pinch me if I'm dreaming.<br />This is a monthly candlechart of SP500.<br /><br />http://i60.tinypic.com/15wgj77.jpg<br />It ends at 31st of august, and I'm already counting 14 consecutive tops higher than the previous month's.<br />With september opening above august highs, we now have already 15 consecutive highs on the monthly time scale.<br />How often do you see this, before the serie stops, at least one or two candles?<br />The strength of a market must be respected, but this...is starting to become quite rare and unusual. Not that 15 consecutive tops do not occur, but I think it's quite a rare occurence, isn't it?<br />Is that enough to bet on the short side, I don't know, but I'm starting to get impressed by the length of this upwards move, without any significant pause.<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00335835171576180359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-38617658410899300062014-09-02T02:33:40.782-07:002014-09-02T02:33:40.782-07:00Shikah bot, please keep spamming here.
Your messag...Shikah bot, please keep spamming here.<br />Your messages are so unsignificant that they show the value of everyone else's.<br />Ah, for the newcomers, this is an automatic Bot from a spamming useless website, Capital Stars, which just want you to click on the spam link above to make money they can't make otherwise with real content.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00335835171576180359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-12204490463885614112014-09-02T01:20:14.766-07:002014-09-02T01:20:14.766-07:00This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.Best Commodity | XAUUSD GOLD |CRUDEOIL |Service Providerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03807330453349878945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-9654401481742915312014-09-02T01:13:13.489-07:002014-09-02T01:13:13.489-07:00Gold hit 1274, which may make gold bulls a bit ner...Gold hit 1274, which may make gold bulls a bit nervous, so, to save your nerves, don't worry : Bo Polny called the bottom (for the third time lool) last week.<br />And...as gold MUST end 2014 at 2000 $ +, the more it goes down, the better deal you will make. So, buy buy buy!! Accumulate! Sell your house and your mother's house and car, because you are about to become very rich.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00335835171576180359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1708908742323002823.post-14112382792398670342014-09-02T00:45:08.659-07:002014-09-02T00:45:08.659-07:00"but that will not stop the madd dash to get ..."but that will not stop the madd dash to get domestic production up to the point necessary by the time russia/china alliance offensively strike the US 7-10 years from now. All going to plan."<br /><br />Eph, again, if you are right, where do you bloody hide from it all? Earth would be utterly destroyed by such a war, would it not? If it's going according to plan, whose crazy plan is this?<br /><br />Meanwhile, I'm ok to eat the red pill, Morpheus, but which one is it? <br /><br />http://vineyardsaker.blogspot.fr/2014/08/russian-invasion-how-long-is-screaming.htmlAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00335835171576180359noreply@blogger.com