Monday, August 13, 2012

Gold Retreats from the Top of its Trading Range

Nothing doing on gold being able to break out from its consolidation pattern. Last week I showed a chart with gold right at the very top of that range and working into a heavy resistance level. Today it failed to better that resistance and was shoved back lower meaning that the odds favor it working lower within that range from here as we wait for the next round of buying support to surface. It should be able to garner buying near $1600 initially on down towards $1585 should that not hold it.

Keep in mind that this market must have a spark to take it up and out of this range. Until it does, the consolidation pattern remains in effect.

There are several factors working in gold's favor but until we get the hedge fund community to come back in on the long side in a big way, the needed firepower to kick off a trending move is not there.